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Adonai Mitchell props — Week 9
WR · NYJ vs KC · Sun Nov 8 1:00 PM ET · updated Nov 8, 11:31 AM ET
O/U 46.5NYJ +9.5Implied 18.5 ptsUsage up with Garrett Wilson out
Model projections
| Prop | Model pick | Model | Projection | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | Under 3.5 | 52% | 3.5 | -108 (52%) |
| Receiving Yards | Under 48.5 | 55% | 46.9 | -113 (53%) |
| Anytime TD | Yes | 21% | — | +300 (25%) |
What drives the projection
Snap share
64%
Target share
21%
WOPR
0.61
Catch rate
59%
Yards / target
9.8
Team pass attempts (proj)
39
Model % is the calibrated chance the pick hits at the listed line. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of the projected outcome. Lines move — check your book before betting.
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