Track Record
Every pick, graded and kept honest.
NBA · Market-by-market hit rate and net units for every recommended prop the engine has graded, plus the game model's win-rate and calibration record. Filter by date range or prop type. Closing-line value is tracked once live odds are on.
Graded set = the model’s recommended picks (Elite + Strong). Until sportsbook odds are enabled at launch, every line is the model’s proxy line (the half-point nearest the blend of season and last-10 averages), so hit rate and units here are measured against that proxy — not a sportsbook price. The 2025-26 record was generated out-of-sample by a model trained only on earlier seasons.
By market
Win rate is push-adjusted · ROI/units on a flat -110 basis
🏀 Games — Win Probability
Game predictions are scored on calibration (Brier & win rate), separate from the prop record. ROI & CLV populate once live prices are captured.
Calibration
When the model favors a side at X%, how often that side actually wins. Closer bars = better calibrated.
📊 Games — Totals
How close the model’s projected total lands to the real combined points, plus an Over/Under record whenever a Vegas line is captured.
Moneyline splits
Where the model’s game picks perform — by side (home/away) and by confidence tier.
Daily results
Tap a day to expand · ✓ correct · ✕ miss · – push
For entertainment and research purposes only. Records are descriptive
performance history, not a promise of future results. ROI and net-unit figures use a standard flat
-110 unit convention across all graded props (actual sportsbook prices vary by market and book).
Past performance does not guarantee future results. 21+ where applicable. Play responsibly — 1-800-MY-RESET.